Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 3.905116 4.171093 4.454719 4.781154 5.148366 5.550910 6.028643
2025-09-21 3.421898 3.782005 4.188676 4.687456 5.290599 6.007103 6.939743
2025-09-28 3.137156 3.545072 4.023557 4.636699 5.417770 6.403944 7.786875
2025-10-05 2.949895 3.391445 3.925122 4.633745 5.576810 6.832712 8.718986
2025-10-12 2.839593 3.315366 3.906193 4.717024 5.842206 7.422061 9.971051
2025-10-19 2.741954 3.243693 3.881467 4.782533 6.081195 7.997461 11.315600
2025-10-26 2.638528 3.155072 3.824430 4.793544 6.236670 8.462468 12.579847
2025-11-02 2.517861 3.035181 3.715383 4.718883 6.251987 8.702419 13.494270
2025-11-09 2.395039 2.905134 3.583450 4.599028 6.182577 8.788253 14.128306
2025-11-16 2.300602 2.808161 3.490882 4.528625 6.181459 8.986365 15.038619
2025-11-23 2.247167 2.763843 3.468574 4.559889 6.344836 9.496090 16.779981
2025-11-30 2.193089 2.715585 3.437177 4.573571 6.478263 9.968941 18.606529
2025-12-07 2.093980 2.602533 3.309729 4.433991 6.344653 9.922754 19.146548
2025-12-14 2.016723 2.517605 3.219876 4.348988 6.300392 10.053349 20.244662
2025-12-21 1.956462 2.454077 3.158019 4.303906 6.321531 10.320336 21.863958
2025-12-28 1.911884 2.410978 3.124101 4.301281 6.418718 10.765870 24.293245
2026-01-04 1.889965 2.399345 3.136402 4.375012 6.665529 11.594460 28.657446
2026-01-11 1.865366 2.382561 3.139593 4.432942 6.887883 12.417545 33.819727
2026-01-18 1.830775 2.349602 3.115975 4.442673 7.014834 13.033951 38.787815
2026-01-25 1.780770 2.292039 3.051427 4.376656 6.979781 13.219662 41.766528
2026-02-01 1.724311 2.223220 2.966710 4.270515 6.851994 13.132363 43.121646
2026-02-08 1.680383 2.171988 2.908100 4.208071 6.811926 13.286633 46.297821
2026-02-15 1.658373 2.153015 2.899984 4.235809 6.968052 14.041540 55.084884